BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Air Force 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Air Force 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.82 |
21.36 (-4.46) |
26.27 |
22.96 (-3.32) |
22.96 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
372.73 |
342.69 (-30.04) |
352.91 |
325.89 (-27.02) |
325.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.46 |
4.95 (-0.52) |
5.65 |
5.15 (-0.50) |
5.15 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
12.91 |
21.36 (+8.46) |
18.91 |
23.16 (+4.25) |
23.16 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
241.09 |
322.28 (+81.19) |
287.91 |
326.73 (+38.82) |
326.73 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.79 |
5.88 (+1.09) |
5.01 |
5.50 (+0.48) |
5.50 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Robert Morris |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
@Sam Houston State |
26.79 |
12.49 |
-14.30 |
39.28 |
72.93% |
W 13-3 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Utah State |
38.24 |
26.07 |
-12.17 |
64.30 |
69.52% |
W 39-21 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@San José State |
22.70 |
26.78 |
+4.08 |
49.49 |
43.46% |
W 45-20 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-01 |
San Diego State |
28.59 |
15.01 |
-13.58 |
43.61 |
71.78% |
W 49-10 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Wyoming |
23.35 |
20.27 |
-3.08 |
43.63 |
54.94% |
W 34-27 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Navy |
23.34 |
11.31 |
-12.02 |
34.65 |
69.28% |
W 17-6 |
7-0 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Colorado State |
28.36 |
20.60 |
-7.75 |
48.96 |
62.44% |
W 30-13 |
8-0 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Army |
25.81 |
11.38 |
-14.43 |
37.19 |
73.14% |
L 3-23 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Hawai'i |
31.99 |
17.28 |
-14.70 |
49.27 |
73.58% |
L 13-27 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
UNLV |
30.39 |
28.48 |
-1.92 |
58.87 |
53.07% |
L 27-31 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-24 |
@Boise State |
20.82 |
28.67 |
+7.85 |
49.49 |
37.41% |
L 19-27 |
8-4 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-23 |
James Madison |
21.74 |
27.84 |
+6.10 |
49.58 |
40.21% |
W 31-21 |
9-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.02% |
| 3-10 |
0.17% |
| 4-9 |
1.00% |
| 5-8 |
3.67% |
| 6-7 |
9.69% |
| 7-6 |
17.95% |
| 8-5 |
23.73% |
| 9-4 |
21.85% |
| 10-3 |
14.28% |
| 11-2 |
6.03% |
| 12-1 |
1.42% |
| 13-0 |
0.18% |